实时追踪全球外汇、黄金、加密货币市场动态
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The Canadian dollar softened modestly on the news earlir, extending a period of currency weakness tied to the broader tariff standoff with Washington. Carney's measured tone, emphasising continued wil
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The Canadian dollar softened modestly on the news earlir, extending a period of currency weakness tied to the broader tariff standoff with Washington. Carney's measured tone, emphasising continued wil
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I'll have more to come on this separately. For now, just the numebrs!New Zealand Q2 CPI 4.1% y/y expected 4.0%, prior 3.1%1.5% q/q expected 1.4%, prior 0.9%Non-tradeables +3.4% y/y and +0.6% q/q
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EUROPEAN SESSIONIn the European session, we don't have much on the agenda other than a couple of low-tier releases like the German PPI and Eurozone Construction Output. None of the data is going to ch
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US stocks reverse sharply as Middle East tensions erase early rallyCBS News: Nearly 100 U.S. Troops injured in Iranian attacks. Most return to dutyAxios: Trump is focusing on making Iran pay for viola
The fresh round of duties lands in the middle of an already fraught USMCA review process and risks reopening a trade fight that had partially cooled earlier this year. Targeting alcohol, dairy and aut
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Fresh comments from a U.S. official suggest that any potential ceasefire with Iran remains secondary to the Trump administration's broader objective of holding Tehran accountable. According to the off
CBS News is reporting that nearly 100 U.S. service members have been injured in Iranian attacks on multiple military bases across the Middle East since July 7. According to U.S. officials, most of the
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Back from the World Cup where he posed with the championship team Spain as they lifted the World Cup Trophy, Trump is on TruthSocial saying that:Iran will pay for killing American Soldies many times o
John Healey has been announced as the new Chancellor of the Exchequer. This is a surprise as Shabana Mahmood was considered the favourite to become Burnham's chancellor. Who he is: Healey is one
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Prior month 0.1% Leading economic index -0.2% versus -0.1% estimateJustyna Zabinska-La Monica, Senior Manager, Business Cycle Indicators, at The Conference Board said:“In June, the Leading Economic In
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CPI MoM -04% versus -0.2% estimate. Prior month +1.0%CPI YoY 2.8% versus 2.9% estimate. Prior month 3.2%CPI BOC COre YoY 2.1% versus 2.2% last monthCPI BoC Core MoM 0.1% versus 0.6% las
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Headlines:Oil prices ease a bit after Iran's Foreign Ministry Spokesperson suggests diplomatic efforts are continuing despite the attacksIran says that diplomatic efforts have been "active" in recent
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A senior Iranian source reported that mediators have proposed a 10-day cessation of strikes to find ways to revive the US-Iran deal. Mediators proposed that Iran and US return to pre-July 9th position
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Negotiations with the US could be pursued based on national interestsMediators have shared messages with Tehran over recent daysWe have received proposals from mediators in war with USSovereign rights
The good news at least is that there is some form of exchange in order to try and de-escalate, with Iran's foreign ministry spokesperson Baghaei insisting that a "binary choice of negotiations or
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Full report hereThe ECB's latest Survey on the Access to Finance of Enterprises (SAFE) showed that euro area companies faced a sharp increase in borrowing costs during the second quarter of 2026, even
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June producer prices -0.3% vs -0.2% m/m expectedPrior +0.3%German producer prices eased in June as a result of a notable drop in energy prices for the most part. Excluding energy, producer prices were
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US and Iran continue to trade strikes in the Middle East and that is continuing to cast a dark cloud on markets to start the new week.Iran is making their presence known in attacking ships in the Stra
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Oil rebound seen pressuring Asian currencies, MUFG says. Indian rupee hit hard.Best-performing market of 2026 hit by chip volatility, ETF unwind. Citi hits Kospi more, downgradesOil gapped higher to o
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The move underscores growing regulatory unease with prediction markets across Europe, with France joining Germany, Italy and Spain in restricting or blocking access to platforms like Polymarket. For a
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前值: 4.4% | 预期: 4.5% | 实际: -
前值: 31.2K | 预期: 28.3K | 实际: -
前值: 0.9% | 预期: 1.5% | 实际: -
前值: 2.7% | 预期: 2.5% | 实际: -
前值: 2.0% | 预期: 2.0% | 实际: -
前值: 2.1% | 预期: 2.1% | 实际: -
前值: 1.0% | 预期: -0.2% | 实际: -
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US June import prices +0.3% vs -0.7% expectedUS housing starts for June 1.427 million versus 1.310 million estimate.US June industrial production +0.1% vs +0.2% expectedWhy Kimi K3 is adding to the ma
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Trump now says he is going to war against smoke from Canada:We are holding Canada responsible for the fact that they are not properly maintaining their Forests, and Brush therein, and the United Sta
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The escalation is showing no signs of stopping in the Middle East. There were reports that Iran targeted Kuwait yesterday and hit a desalization plant and now Iran's semi-official Tasnim says that the
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The weekly Baker Hughes oil rig count showed a gain of 7 to 452. The Gas rigs were unchanged at 126 and Total rigs rose by 7 to 588.Versus a year ago, oil rigs are up from 422 while gas rates are up f
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The Trump administration notified Israel it is sending dozens more refueling planes to the country ahead of a potential expansion of military operations against Iran, according to Axios.The report s
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Prior was 48.9Conditions 54.9 vs 48.7 expectedPrior was 48.4Expectations 54.20 vs 51.7 expectedPrior expectations 49.3One-year inflation 4.2% vs 4.6% priorFive-year inflation 3.3% vs 3.3% priorThis i
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Prior was +0.1%Capacity utilization 76.1% vs 76.2% expectedManufacturing output 0.0% vs +0.1% expectedPrior output 0.0% (revised to +0.1%) This article was written by Adam
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Prior import prices +1.9% (revised to +1.7%)Export prices -0.6% vs -0.4% expectedPrior export prices +1.3% (prior revised to +1.2%)The import number swings the other way from CPI and PPI, perhaps high
Prior month housing starts 1.177 million revised to 1.199 million. Prior month building permits 1.410 million.Housing starts for the month of June 1.427 million versus 1.310 million estimateHousing st
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Headlines:Tech shares continue to stay under pressure in final stretch of the weekHow have interest rate expectations changed after this week's events?IRGC reaffirms that no oil and gas will pass thro
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June final CPI +2.8% vs +2.8% y/y prelimPrior +3.2%June final core CPI +2.4% vs +2.4% y/y prelimPrior +2.6%No change to the initial estimates as euro area inflation cools a little in June. The monthly
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No change to government stance that specific monetary policy is left for the BOJ to decide uponGovernment will work to avoid misunderstanding in markets over fiscal, monetary policy stanceKeeping a cl
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Vessel traffic along the Strait of Hormuz has dropped back significantly in the past week or so. And we've only been seeing an average of around 10-15 vessels transit through the strait this week.Yes
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Asian tech stocks slide as AI rally unwinds, oil set for biggest weekly gain since AprilOil steady despite fresh wave of strikes across Gulf, Iraq and IranRupee nears record low as RBI intervenes but
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For markets, the relevant angle is less the election dispute itself and more what it signals about the US-China relationship heading into a planned September meeting between Trump and Xi Jinping, one
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Trump is speaking now. China ... This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at investinglive.com.
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The miss against consensus, and the sharp deceleration from May's two-decade high, suggests the AI-driven electronics export surge may be starting to normalize after several months of extraordinary gr
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Hoisington's capitulation carries symbolic weight well beyond the size of its roughly $2 billion book, given the firm built its reputation calling the multi-decade decline in yields correctly. The shi
Food prices make up around 19% of New Zealand's consumer price index. This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at investinglive.com.
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Trump to sell faster access to his Truth Social postsGoogle Gemini launch delayed as tech falls short of goals - reportFed's Logan: Investment demand for AI is big, real and near-term inflationaryFed'
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Prior was +0.5% (revised to +0.6%)This is in-line with estimates but there is a slight upwards revision to the April reading, which should add a touch to GDP estimates. Th
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Prior was +10.3Details:New orders 37.0 versus 27.3 last monthShipments 33.7 versus 14.9 last monthUnfilled orders 18.1 versus 10.5 last monthDelivery times 9.6 versus 10.8 last monthInventories 0.
Prior was +0.2%Details:Ex-autos vs -0.1% expectedPrior ex autos +0.8%Ex autos and gas vs +0.5% priorControl group vs +0.5% expectedPrior control +0.7%Nominal retail sales y/y +% vs +6.9% priorRetail s
Prior week 215K revised to 216Kinitial jobless claims 208K vs 217K estimate 4 week moving average of initial claims 214.25K versus 219.0K last weekContinuing claims prior 1.814 million revis
The report says that a possibility that is being discussed within Iran's leadership now is potentially to ask Yemen's Houthi movement to be on standby and ready to close the Red Sea oil route, that i
Prior was 261.4K (revised to 253.1KHousing activity propelled the Canadian economy for years but those days are long gone. Housing is a stubborn drag on the economy and it's going to take awhile to t
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Headlines:US futures keep more mixed ahead of the open laterOil prices remain skewed to the upside heading into the weekend as US-Iran crisis keeps risks elevatedIran's army warns that if US attacks c
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May trade balance (non-seasonally adjuted) -€7.8 billion vs -€1.6 billionPrior -€1.0 billion; revised to -€1.2 billionThat is a marked increase in the Eurozone trade deficit as energy import
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June final CPI +3.0% vs +3.0% y/y prelimPrior +3.2%June final HICP +3.0% vs +3.1% y/y prelimPrior +3.2%Slight delay in the release by the source. The headline reading is unchanged from the initial est
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Iran has no conflict with neighbouring countriesRemains committed to cooperation and "brotherly relations" with Gulf nationsOther countries from outside the region should engage with Iran on the basis
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UK May monthly GDP +0.1% vs +0.1% m/m expectedPrior -0.1%The more detailed breakdown for the month:Services output +0.3% vs +0.1% m/m expectedPrior -0.2%; revised to -0.1%Industrial output -0.5% vs -0
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This all started all the way back in 2023 already, with the falling response rate to the Labour Force Survey (LFS) being the main issue. As such, the UK stats office eventually announced a move to tra
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After a bit of a breather early yesterday, the US PPI numbers for June also came in much softer than anticipated. So, that pretty much extended the relief for markets amid inflation fears creeping ba
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Senior BOJ official: Delay in adjusting rates could lead to economic downturn in futureUS slaps a 25% tariff on some Brazil goods, exempts beef and coffeeAsian chip stocks slammed as Nikkei, Kospi bo
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New tariffs in effect from July 22/ This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at investinglive.com.
New tariffs in effect from July 22/ This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at investinglive.com.
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Trump on FOX Business: Iran wants to meet. They want to make a deal. But plans for more military operations.US military strikes Iran (again)Crude oil futures settled at $79.60 up $0.26 or 0.33%Fed B
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Trump is speaking on FOXBusiness and says: Oil prices will yo-yo for a while.Thinks inflation at year end will be lower than it is now.Would like to see rates go down, but better to pause than to hike
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US US military strikes Iran (again)At 3 PM, US forces launched operations for a second wave of strikes today against Iran.US military strikes are targeting Iranian military capabilities used to threat
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Iranian Parliamentary Speaker Qalibaf is on the newswires and says: We have never welcomed war, but we must always be ready to fight and stand to the end to safeguard our national security and interes
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The FT is reporting that Shabana Mahmood is set to become Britain's next Chancellor of ExchequerShabana Mahmood is viewed as a fiscally disciplined, centrist Labour politician who is expecte
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Prior was 6.5%PPI final demand m/m -0.3% vs 0.1% expected (prior was +1.1%)Core readings:PPI ex food and energy y/y 4.7% vs 5.2% expectedEx food and energy m/m +0.2% vs +0.4% expectedEx food energy, a
Prior was +4.2%sales rose in 14 of the 21 subsectorsTransportation equipment +4.1%Sales of motor vehicles increased 11.8% m/m vs -4.6% priorChemical +4.6%Electrical equipmen
Prior was 5.7 (the estimate was 14.0)New orders 22.2 vs. +3.5 priorShipments 24.4 vs. +8.6 priorPrices paid 52.3 vs. +61.0 priorPrices received 27.6 vs +31.4 priorEmployment 11.4 vs +9.6 priorSupply
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Headlines:Cooler US inflation gives markets a bit of a breatherUSD/JPY shrugs off the surprisingly soft US CPI as Middle East crisis keeps inflation risks aliveECB policymaker Nagel says interest rate
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May industrial production -0.2% vs +0.2% m/m expectedPrior +0.1%; revised to +0.3%That's a notable miss on estimates with the country-level breakdown showing a sizable drop in industrial output for Ir
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I don't think the draft economic blueprint upset marketsForeign exhcnage rates are determined by marketsWe aim for a strong economy and sustainable fiscal policiesInterest rates and foreign exchange a
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June final CPI +3.2% vs +3.2% y/y prelimPrior +3.2%June final HICP +3.6% vs +3.6% y/y prelimPrior +3.6%Core CPI +2.9% y/yPrior +3.0%Spanish inflation holds steady in June, with headline annual inflati
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The US inflation pulse stole the spotlight yesterday, as the June CPI report came in softer than anticipated. In case you missed it: US June CPI 3.5% vs 3.8% expectedDespite what the headlines m
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Nikkei rises but gains checked ahead of ASML earnings, Kospi surgesChina Q2 GDP growth cools to 4.3%, weakest pace in three and a half yearsUS forces hit dozens of Iranian military sites near Strait o
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The miss against forecasts underscores how the Iran-linked oil shock is now compounding, rather than merely coinciding with, China's long-running property downturn, adding a fresh external drag to an
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Economic growth data for China in the April - June quarter. China Q2 GDP 0.9% q/q expected 0.9%, prior 1.3%4.3% y/y, well down from the Q1 growth rate of 5%expected 4.5%, prior 5.0%H1 2026 national u
Economic 'activity' data from China, June 2026Fixed Asset Investment (YTD) (YoY) (Jun) -5.7% a big miss, but the other data is strongexpected -4.9%, prior -4.1% Industrial Production (YoY) (Jun) +5.3%
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China House prices June 2026 ... I added more on this here: New home prices in China fell for a fourth straight year in June -3.3% y/y prior -3.5%-0.1% m/mprior -0.2%Still to come:The economic
The modest easing in both the year-on-year and month-on-month declines offers a marginal sign that the pace of deterioration is slowing rather than accelerating, but the broader trend remains firmly n
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The steady manufacturers' reading, underpinned by robust semiconductor and AI server demand, supports the BOJ's narrative that AI-linked external demand is reinforcing growth even as service sector co
New Zealand retail data, June 2026: -1.4% m/mprior +1.7%+1.3% y/y prior +3.3% This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at investinglive.com.
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The plan signals a structural shift in Beijing's growth model, with policymakers explicitly targeting a slower pace of retail sales growth than the previous five-year period while pushing for a larger
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Crude oil settles at $79.34, up $1.20. Bias remains to the upside from a technical perspectiveFitch affirms Canada at AA+ with a stable outlookTrump told Netanyahu that he should remove his soldiers f
The economic activity date from China, for June, along with Q2 growth data, is the focus for the calendar in Asia today. June is expected to show more on the divergence in China, with subdued domestic
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Axios is out with an interesting report, and the timing of it is also notable.Trump yesterday created some more bluster in the Iran war but he might still be angling behind the scenes for a peace deal
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Pres. Trump is speaking to reporters from the Oval Office with the Iraqi prime ministerWe are there for Iraq if they need protection. We were called by different countries that said they'd like to in
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Just now from Trump:Oil is flowing like never before, thanks to the awesome Power of the United States Military. A special salute to Secretary of War, Pete Hegseth, Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of S
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Prior was 4.2%CPI m/m -0.4% vs -0.1% expPrior CPI was +0.5%Unrounded -0.349%Core readings:Core y/y 2.6% vs 2.8% expectedPrior core was 2.9%Core m/m 0.0% vs +0.2% expectedPrior m/m +0.2%Unrounded +0.01
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Is it time to buy the gold miners?US June NFIB small business optimism index 97.4 vs 95.7 expectedWhat is the distribution of forecasts for the US CPI?The bond market is one spot to keep an eye out fo
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Prior 95.3The index rose 2.1 points in June to 97.4, nearing its 52-year average of 98.0. Expectations for better business conditions and real sales expectations improved substantially and primar
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前值: 0.2% | 预期: 0.2% | 实际: -
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The ranges of estimates are important in terms of market reaction because when the actual data deviates from the expectations, it creates a surprise effect. Another important input in market's reactio
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Global investor sentiment hits highest since February on optimism on macro 'boom', AI capex and dovish FedRecord 54% of fund managers expect 'no landing' for global economy; only 2% see 'hard landing'
Traders and investors are all gearing up for the US CPI report to come later in the day. And that is seeing a bit of a breather in broader markets, following the risk selloff from yesterday. That owes
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June wholesale price index -0.7% m/mPrior -0.6%Wholesale prices in Germany continue to fall again in June, with the annual estimate also easing further to +4.9% - down from +5.9% in May. The year-on-y
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There's only one game in town for markets today. And no, it isn't France versus Spain sadly. The trading day ahead will center around the US CPI report for June, with inflation data coming back into
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China June trade data smashes forecasts on AI demand surgeNZD firms as Conway reinforces RBNZ hawkish tilt on inflation riskChina's export growth accelerated in June, surged 27% y/y vs. 18.2% expected
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The scale of the beat, on both exports and imports, is the story here, since it suggests the AI investment cycle and tariff front-loading are doing more to support Chinese trade than the Reuters poll
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The likely headline decline is almost entirely a gasoline story rather than a genuine broadening of disinflation, which is why the core reading matters more for markets than the top line print. A core
China trade data for June 2026:Balance of Trade $125.8bnexpected 121B, prior 105.43BImports +36% y/yexpected 24%, prior 27.4%Exports +27% y/y, fastest growth since 2021expected 18.2%, prior 19.4%I'll
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Australia Business Confidence June 2026: -5 prior -14Business conditions: remains at 3prior 3I'll have more to come on this separately This article was written
Coming straight after Westpac's consumer confidence release, this is the second Australian sentiment survey in one session to show improvement that predates the latest escalation, reinforcing the sens
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